Lower and The TW Team
Adjustable-Rate Mortgage Calculator
Adjustable rate

What can this rate actually become?

Every other ARM calculator asks you to guess the rate after the fixed period ends. Your note does not leave it to a guess, it is the index plus your margin, rounded to an eighth, held inside caps you already agreed to. This works that arithmetic the way the servicer will, on every change date, and shows you the three paths that matter: the index where it is now, the worst your caps allow, and the floor.

An estimate from your figures, not advice, and not an offer of credit.

Your Scenario

Product

Example figures, not our pricing. Replace them with a rate you have been quoted, nothing on this page adjusts it.

30-day Average SOFR was 3.648% on 17 September 2026. Your margin is on your note and does not change for the life of the loan. Fannie Mae caps a gross margin at 3.000%.

The comparison runs to the month you leave. Selling or refinancing before the first change date is the entire case for an ARM, and the entire risk in it.

How You Will Be Qualified

Qualifying rate

Three Futures, Priced

Every change date on this path
Change dateIndex+ marginRounded Cap allowsYour ratePayment

Best Case And Worst Case, Run Together

Best caseindex falls to the floor Where it sits todayindex held flat Worst caseevery cap binds

Payment shock, the worst single adjustment

Every adjustment, best and worst side by side
Change date Best rateBest payment Worst rateWorst payment Spread

Against the Fixed Rate

Same loan amount, same term, same day you walk away. What each one costs is everything you paid plus everything you still owe, a lower payment that leaves a larger balance has not saved you anything.

This ARMThe fixed rate

What Has To Happen For The ARM To Lose

The question every ARM calculator leaves you to guess at. Not a forecast, a threshold you can watch against a published number.

The index level where the fixed rate takes over

The month the saving runs out

Reference

How an adjustable rate is actually set

Written from the note and from Regulation Z rather than from a brochure. Every number above comes out of the rules below, and you can check each one against your own paperwork.

What “5/6” means, and what it does not

The first number is how many years the rate is fixed. The second is how many months between changes after that. A 5/6 is fixed for five years, then may change every six months for the remaining twenty-five. A 7/6 and a 10/6 are the same loan with a longer runway.

The older names, 5/1, 7/1, meant annual changes against LIBOR. Those loans are not being written. Conforming ARMs moved to a SOFR index adjusting every six months, so a modern ARM changes twice as often as the product most people picture.

What the name does not tell you is the part that decides your payment: the margin, the caps and the index. Two 7/6 ARMs with the same start rate can end up more than two points apart.

The index: 30-day Average SOFR

Conforming ARMs are indexed to a 30-day average of the Secured Overnight Financing Rate, published by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. It replaced LIBOR, which stopped being published for new contracts.

It is an average of an overnight rate, so it moves with the front end of the curve, broadly, with what the Federal Reserve does, and it is smoother than a daily rate because of the averaging.

Your note takes the figure published 45 days before each change date, not the figure on the date itself. So the rate that will apply at your next change is already knowable a month and a half in advance, and you can look it up.

Source: Fannie Mae Selling Guide B2-1.4-02; 30-day Average SOFR was 3.648% on 17 September 2026 (FRED series SOFR30DAYAVG).

The margin, and the floor nobody reads

The margin is added to the index and never changes for the life of the loan. It is the part of your rate the lender controls, it is negotiable before you sign, and it is worth more attention than the start rate because it applies for twenty-five years rather than five. Fannie Mae caps a gross margin at 3.000%.

Then the line people miss: the rate may never fall below the margin, whatever the downward cap would otherwise permit. If your margin is 3% then 3% is your floor, even if the index goes to zero. A downward cap that looks like it lets you reach 2% does not.

Index plus margin is the fully indexed rate. If it is above your start rate, your loan is discounted, and the first adjustment will move toward the fully indexed rate, not away from it.

Rounding, and which way a tie goes

Index plus margin is rounded to the nearest one-eighth of one percentage point, 0.125%. Almost every ARM note does this, and it is the reason your rate is always a clean eighth.

On an exact tie, Fannie Mae rounds down. That is a real difference: an eighth of a point on a $650,000 balance is roughly $50 a month. Calculators that round half up put the tie on the wrong side.

Three caps, and what each one bounds

Written as three numbers, 2/1/5 or 5/1/5:

First-change cap. How far the rate may move at the first adjustment, up or down, from the start rate. A 5/6 is typically 2%; a 7/6 and a 10/6 are typically 5%. The longer fixed period is paid for with a bigger first step.

Periodic cap. How far it may move at each change after that. One point, so a rate can climb a point every six months until it hits the ceiling.

Lifetime cap. Measured from your start rate, not from the fully indexed rate. Start at 5.75% with a 5% lifetime cap and your rate can never exceed 10.75% for as long as you hold the loan.

Federal law requires a lifetime maximum on every variable-rate loan secured by a dwelling, 12 CFR 1026.30. There is no such thing as an uncapped consumer ARM.

The recast, why the payment moves more than the rate

At every change date the payment is recalculated to pay the remaining balance over the remaining term at the new rate. It is not the old payment adjusted, and it is not a new thirty-year payment.

That has a consequence worth sitting with: after year five, a rate that rises a point is being applied to a shorter payoff schedule, so the payment rises by more than the rate alone would suggest. Calculators that re-amortise over the original term understate every payment after the first adjustment, and the error compounds.

The flip side is that the balance is smaller by then, which works the other way. The table above shows the two effects netted out rather than described.

How a lender qualifies you, two rules that disagree

Regulation Z requires the payment used for ability-to-repay to be based on the maximum interest rate that may apply during the first five years after the first payment is due, 12 CFR 1026.43(c)(5)(ii), and (e)(2)(iv) for a qualified mortgage.

On a 5/6 that produces a result that surprises people: the first adjusted payment is the 61st, one month outside the five-year window, so the Regulation Z maximum is the start rate.

Fannie Mae is stricter. Under Selling Guide B3-6-04, an initial fixed period of five years qualifies at the greater of the note rate plus the first-change cap, or the fully indexed rate. Longer than five years qualifies at the note rate, unless the loan is higher-priced and the fully indexed rate exceeds it, in which case the fully indexed rate applies and the file is underwritten manually.

The higher of the two governs your file. A 5/6 is therefore harder to qualify for than a 7/6 at the same rate, which is a reason to ask about a 7/6 that has nothing to do with how long you plan to stay.

The disclosures you are owed, and when

At application. For a variable-rate loan over one year secured by your principal dwelling, you must receive the CFPB booklet Consumer Handbook on Adjustable-Rate Mortgages and a loan program disclosure for each programme you are considering, at the time an application form is given to you or before you pay a non-refundable fee, whichever comes first. 12 CFR 1026.19(b). Within three business days if you applied by telephone or through a broker.

210 to 240 days before the first adjusted payment is due. A separate initial rate adjustment notice, so the first change never arrives unannounced. 12 CFR 1026.20(d). Seven months of warning.

60 to 120 days before each later payment change. 12 CFR 1026.20(c).

If you did not get the booklet and the programme disclosure at application, say so before you go further. They are the documents that contain your caps.

Assumability, conversion and prepayment

Many ARMs are assumable after the fixed period and most fixed-rate conventional loans are not. In a higher-rate market that is a real asset attached to the house: a buyer can take over your rate. Read your note, the clause is specific and the lender still underwrites the buyer.

Some ARMs carry a conversion option to a fixed rate during a defined window, usually for a fee and at a rate set by a formula rather than by the market that day. It is not a free escape hatch, and whether your loan has one is on the note.

Conforming ARMs carry no prepayment penalty. You can refinance out of one the day after the first change date if the market allows it, the constraint is whether you will qualify and what rates are, not a penalty.

Why there is no APR on this page

An ARM’s annual percentage rate is computed on an assumed future index, Regulation Z has the creditor assume the index stays where it is. It is a disclosure figure computed under a convention, not a prediction and not a cost you will actually pay.

Putting that number beside a fixed-rate APR, where the rate genuinely does not move, invites a comparison that is not valid. The total-cost table above does the job an APR is reaching for, and does it over the period you actually expect to hold the loan.

Your Loan Estimate will carry an APR, computed that way, and it is the figure that governs.

When an ARM is the right answer

The honest case is narrow and it is about time, not about a view on rates. If you are confident you will sell or refinance before the first change date, the discount is close to free. If you are not, you are being paid a few years of lower payments to carry the risk of the years after.

What makes people wrong is not usually the rate forecast. It is the plan: a job that did not move, a second child, a market where the house did not appraise. The break-even month above is the number to look at, because it tells you how much slack the plan has.

The other real case is a borrower with the balance sheet to absorb the worst path. If the payment at your lifetime ceiling is one you could pay without changing your life, the rate risk is a price rather than a danger.

What this page does not do

It models the note mechanics: index, margin, rounding, caps, floor and recast. It does not forecast SOFR, and the three paths are boundary conditions rather than scenarios with probabilities attached.

It does not include taxes, insurance, mortgage insurance or HOA dues, the payment calculator does that. It compares principal and interest, because that is the only part an adjustable rate changes.

It assumes a fully amortising loan with no interest-only period, no negative amortisation, no payment cap, and no conversion option exercised. Payment-capped ARMs that can negatively amortise exist outside the conforming market; if you are shown one, this page will not describe it.

Questions

Common Questions

The rules behind the numbers above, in plain language.

What is a 5/6 ARM?

A mortgage whose rate is fixed for the first five years and may then change every six months for the rest of the term. The rate after the fixed period is the index plus your margin, rounded to the nearest eighth of a point, held inside the caps on your note.

The “/6” is the part people miss. The older 5/1 adjusted once a year against LIBOR; conforming ARMs now adjust every six months against SOFR, which is twice as often.

What index do ARMs use now that LIBOR is gone?

A 30-day average of the Secured Overnight Financing Rate, published by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Your note uses the figure published 45 days before each change date, so the rate at your next adjustment is knowable a month and a half ahead.

It was 3.648% on 17 September 2026. It moves broadly with what the Federal Reserve does to short-term rates.

How high can my ARM rate go?

Your start rate plus your lifetime cap, and not a basis point higher. On a 5.750% start rate with a 5% lifetime cap, the ceiling is 10.750% for as long as you hold the loan.

Federal law requires a lifetime maximum on every variable-rate loan secured by a dwelling, 12 CFR 1026.30, so an uncapped consumer ARM does not exist. The worst-case path above shows what the ceiling costs you and how quickly the caps let you reach it.

How low can my ARM rate go?

Not below your margin. A Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac SOFR note says the interest rate may never decrease below the margin, whatever the downward periodic cap would otherwise allow.

With a 3% margin, 3% is your floor even if SOFR goes to zero. This is the single most misread line in an ARM note, and it is why the falling-index path above stops where it does.

What is the margin, and can I negotiate it?

The fixed number added to the index to produce your rate. It never changes for the life of the loan, and it is set by the lender rather than by the market, which makes it negotiable in a way the index is not.

It deserves more attention than the start rate, because the start rate governs five years and the margin governs the other twenty-five. Fannie Mae caps a gross margin at 3.000%.

Why did my payment go up more than my rate?

Because at each change date the payment is recalculated to pay off the remaining balance over the remaining term. After year five a 30-year loan has twenty-five years left, so the same rate increase is spread over fewer payments and each one is larger.

The balance being smaller pulls the other way. The schedule above nets the two effects rather than describing them.

What is the worst my payment could realistically get?

Not realistically, legally. That is the useful version of the question, because the note answers it exactly. The worst case is every cap binding in turn: the full first-change cap at your first adjustment, then the periodic cap at each adjustment after it, until the lifetime ceiling stops the rate and holds it there. Nothing worse than that can happen on the loan, whatever the index does.

The best case is the mirror image and has a floor most people do not expect: the rate falls as fast as the caps allow until it reaches your margin, and stops. Not zero. On a conforming SOFR note the margin is the floor.

The calculator runs both and shows them side by side, change date by change date, along with the largest single-month increase the worst case produces, which is the number that actually decides whether an adjustable rate is survivable, and the one no lender qualifies you on.

What is payment shock, and where does it show up?

Payment shock is the jump at a single change date, as opposed to the drift across the whole loan. A payment that climbs several hundred dollars over eight years is a different loan from one that climbs the same amount in one month, and only the second puts people in default.

On a 5/6 the largest jump is almost always the first adjustment, because the first-change cap is the biggest single step the note permits, typically 2% on a 5/6 and 5% on a 7/6 or 10/6, and because the payment is re-amortised over the remaining term at the same moment. Both effects land together.

The calculator reports it as its own figure: the month it lands, the payment before and after, the size of the jump and what it costs over the following year.

What rate will I be qualified at?

Not your start rate, usually. Regulation Z requires the maximum rate that may apply in the first five years after your first payment. Fannie Mae adds its own rule: a five-year initial period qualifies at the greater of the note rate plus the first-change cap, or the fully indexed rate; longer than five years qualifies at the note rate.

The higher of the two governs. It is why a 7/6 can be easier to qualify for than a 5/6 at the same rate, and why the debt ratio on your approval is not computed on the payment you will actually make.

Is an ARM a bad idea?

It is a trade, and the terms of it are knowable. You take a lower payment for a defined number of years and carry the risk of the years after, bounded by your caps. Whether that is sensible depends almost entirely on how long you will hold the loan, not on a view about where rates are going.

The two questions worth answering honestly: could you pay the payment at your lifetime ceiling without changing your life, and how firm is the plan that has you out before the first change date?

Can I refinance out of an ARM later?

Yes, and conforming ARMs carry no prepayment penalty, so nothing on the loan stops you. What can stop you is qualifying, income, credit, and the value of the house at the time, and what rates are when you need to move.

That is the risk people underrate. The plan to refinance is a plan that depends on conditions in five years, and the years in which you would most want out are the years in which it is hardest.

Are ARMs assumable?

Many are, after the fixed period ends, and most fixed-rate conventional loans are not. In a higher-rate market that can be a genuine asset attached to the house, because a buyer can take over your rate rather than getting a new one.

Read the assumption clause on your note. The lender still underwrites the buyer, and the terms are specific.

What is the fully indexed rate?

The index plus your margin, rounded the way your note rounds. It is what your rate would be if it adjusted today, and it is the benchmark both qualifying rules compare against.

If the fully indexed rate is above your start rate, your loan is discounted and the first adjustment will move toward the fully indexed rate rather than away from it. Worth knowing before you assume the first change is a coin toss.

When will I be told my rate is changing?

Twice, and well ahead. The first adjustment gets its own notice 210 to 240 days before the first adjusted payment is due, seven months. Every later payment change gets a notice 60 to 120 days ahead. 12 CFR 1026.20(d) and (c).

You should also have received the CFPB’s adjustable-rate mortgage booklet and a loan program disclosure at application under 1026.19(b). If you did not, ask for them, that is where your caps are written down.

Does an ARM have an APR I can compare?

It has an APR, but comparing it with a fixed-rate APR is not as useful as it looks. An ARM APR is computed assuming the index stays exactly where it is today, which is a disclosure convention rather than a forecast.

Total cost over the period you will actually hold the loan, everything paid plus everything still owed, answers the question an APR is reaching for, and that is the comparison this page runs.

Should I take a 5/6 or a 7/6?

Three things differ, and only one of them is the fixed period. The 7/6 usually carries a higher start rate; its first-change cap is typically 5% rather than 2%, so the first step up can be larger; and it is qualified at the note rate rather than at the greater of the note rate plus the cap or the fully indexed rate.

So a 7/6 buys two more years of certainty and an easier qualification, and pays for both with a higher rate and a bigger possible first step. Run each one above over the period you actually expect to hold it.

Important disclosures

Taylor Weiner, mortgage loan originator, NMLS #263090  ·  Lower, LLC, NMLS #1124061  ·  5950 Symphony Woods Road, Suite 312, Columbia, MD 21044  ·  (714) 658-4912  ·  tweiner@twteam.com  ·  Verify licensing at nmlsconsumeraccess.org. Licensed to originate residential mortgage loans in California.

Not a government agency. The TW Team at Lower is not affiliated with, acting on behalf of, or endorsed by HUD, the FHA, the VA, the USDA, the FHFA, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or any other government agency. This page is not a government publication and has not been reviewed or approved by HUD, by the FHA, by the VA, by the USDA or by any other government agency. FHA loans are insured by the Federal Housing Administration and VA loans are guaranteed by the Department of Veterans Affairs; both are originated by approved lenders, not by the agencies themselves.

This calculator is an educational estimate based on figures you enter. It is not a rate quote, an offer of credit, or a commitment to lend. No rate on this page is offered or available; every rate field opens on an example figure you are expected to replace, and nothing on the page adjusts one. This page publishes no lender’s qualifying guidelines, no maximum loan-to-value, no minimum credit score, no product parameters. Those are set by the lender and by underwriting.

The interest rate on an adjustable-rate mortgage can increase after consummation. The rate and payment shown for the period after your fixed period are estimates computed from the index, margin and caps you entered, on rate paths you selected. They are not predictions of the index and they are not a commitment about your future rate or payment. Your note, your ARM loan program disclosure and your Closing Disclosure govern.

Where the rules on this page come from

ARM structure and index: Fannie Mae Selling Guide B2-1.4-02 (adjustable-rate mortgages), including the 30-day average SOFR index, the 45-day lookback, rounding to the nearest one-eighth with ties rounded down, the 300 basis point maximum gross margin, and the rule that the interest rate may never decrease below the margin.

Qualifying rate: Fannie Mae Selling Guide B3-6-04; 12 CFR 1026.43(c)(5)(ii) for ability to repay and 1026.43(e)(2)(iv) for qualified mortgage underwriting, both of which require the maximum interest rate that may apply during the first five years after the first regular periodic payment is due.

Disclosures: 12 CFR 1026.19(b) for the Consumer Handbook on Adjustable-Rate Mortgages and the loan program disclosure at application; 1026.20(d) for the initial rate adjustment notice, 210 to 240 days before the first payment at the adjusted level is due; 1026.20(c) for later payment-change notices, 60 to 120 days ahead; 1026.30 for the required lifetime maximum interest rate.

Index level: 30-day Average SOFR, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, published by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis as series SOFR30DAYAVG; 3.64783% on 17 September 2026. The default in the calculator is that figure rounded to three decimals.

Scope and limits of this calculator

This page models a fully amortising adjustable-rate mortgage: a fixed initial period, a change every six months after it, a rate set as index plus margin rounded to the nearest eighth and bounded by first-change, periodic and lifetime caps with a floor at the margin, and a payment re-amortised over the remaining term at every change date.

It does not model an interest-only period, a payment cap, negative amortisation, a conversion option exercised, a temporary buydown applied to an ARM, a lookback other than 45 days, an adjustment frequency other than six months, or a lender overlay. It does not include property taxes, insurance, mortgage insurance or association dues, because an adjustable rate does not change any of them.

The three rate paths are boundary conditions, not forecasts, and no probability is attached to any of them. The break-even month and the index threshold are arithmetic on the terms you entered; they are not advice about whether to take an adjustable rate.

No annual percentage rate is shown, deliberately, and the reference above says why.

Equal Housing Opportunity. Lower, LLC is an Equal Housing Lender. We do business in accordance with the Federal Fair Housing Act and the Equal Credit Opportunity Act.

Index level and regulatory citations current as of September 2026.